Solar Savings Calculator

Project year-one and lifetime savings, simple payback, and return on investment for a home solar system from its size, your electricity rate, and net cost.

kW
kWh/kW
Roughly 1,100 to 1,700 kWh per kW per year in the U.S. depending on location and roof orientation.
Fills in the average residential price for that state (EIA, June 2026). Edit the rate below if your bill shows a different one.
¢/kWh
%
$
%
yrs
Simple Payback
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Year-One Savings
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Net Savings Over the Period
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Total Electricity Value
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Return on Investment
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With the default inputs (System size 7; Annual production per kW 1400; Electricity rate 18.34; Annual utility rate increase 3%; Net system cost after incentives $19,250; Panel output loss per year 0.5%; Years to project 25; State U.S. average (18.34¢/kWh)), this calculator returns Simple Payback 9.6 years, Year-One Savings $1,797.32 and Net Savings Over the Period $42,023.30.

How electricity rate changes the result

Every row is computed with this page's own calculator. Change the inputs above to model your own numbers.

Simple Payback by electricity rate (other inputs held at: System size 7; Annual production per kW 1400; Annual utility rate increase 3%; Net system cost after incentives $19,250; Panel output loss per year 0.5%; Years to project 25; State U.S. average (18.34¢/kWh))
Electricity rateSimple PaybackNet Savings Over the Period
12¢/kWh13.9 years$20,841.58
15¢/kWh11.5 years$30,864.48
18.34¢/kWh9.6 years$42,023.30
22¢/kWh8.2 years$54,251.23
26¢/kWh7.0 years$67,615.09
30¢/kWh6.1 years$80,978.95

Key Takeaways

  • System production and electricity rates determine the first year's estimated electricity value.
  • Rate escalation and panel degradation change projected savings in each future year.
  • Simple payback occurs when cumulative electricity savings reach the entered net system cost.
  • Default inputs produce $42,023.30 in net savings across the selected period.

How to Use This Solar Savings Calculator

Enter the solar system size and expected annual production per kilowatt of capacity. Add the electricity rate, expected annual utility rate increase, and net system cost after applicable incentives. Then enter the panel output loss per year and the number of years to project.

The calculator estimates first-year savings, total electricity value, net savings, simple payback, and return on investment. The model assumes every kilowatt-hour produced offsets electricity at the entered retail rate. That treatment matches full net metering, but it can overstate value where exported electricity receives a lower credit.

How the Math Works

Savings in year n = system kW × production per kW × (1 minus degradation)^(n minus 1) × rate × (1 plus escalation)^(n minus 1). Payback is when cumulative savings reach net cost. Net savings = cumulative savings minus net cost. ROI = net savings ÷ net cost.
  • System kW is the solar array's rated capacity in kilowatts.
  • Production per kW is the expected annual energy generated by each kilowatt of capacity.
  • Degradation is the assumed annual decline in panel output.
  • Rate is the current retail electricity price per kilowatt-hour.
  • Escalation is the assumed annual increase in the electricity rate.
  • Net cost is the system cost remaining after entered incentives.
  • Cumulative savings is the sum of modeled electricity value across the projection period.

Example Calculation

The shipped defaults use a 7 kW system producing 1,400 kWh per kW annually. The electricity rate is 18.34 cents per kWh, the annual utility rate increase is 3%, and net system cost after incentives is $19,250. Annual panel output loss is 0.5%, and the projection covers 25 years. The selected state option is U.S. average (18.34¢/kWh).

For each year, production is reduced by the degradation assumption while the electricity rate rises by the escalation assumption. The annual values are added to determine cumulative electricity value. Payback is interpolated within the year when cumulative savings reach the net cost.

The results are Simple Payback: 9.6 years, Year-One Savings: $1,797.32, Net Savings Over the Period: $42,023.30, Total Electricity Value: $61,273.30, and Return on Investment: 218%.

Tips for Getting the Most From This Calculator

  • Use a site-specific production estimate that reflects shade, roof direction, and system design.
  • Confirm whether the utility credits exported solar production at retail or a lower rate.
  • Enter the actual purchase cost after rebates rather than an advertised starting price.
  • Test multiple electricity escalation assumptions because future utility prices are uncertain.
  • Match the projection period to the timeframe relevant to ownership and financial planning.

Important Considerations

Panel warranties typically guarantee output declines of no more than about 0.5% per year, but warranty terms and actual performance can differ. The calculation does not separately model maintenance, equipment replacement, financing costs, taxes, insurance, or changes in household consumption. These items can alter realized net savings and payback.

Under net billing, exported power is credited below retail, so actual savings can be lower unless the household consumes most production directly. The federal residential solar credit ended for expenditures after December 31, 2025. For a purchased system in 2026, net cost usually equals the full installed price minus available state or utility incentives.

Use the Solar Panel Cost Calculator to estimate system size and installed price. Use the Solar Financing Calculator to evaluate loan payments and financing costs.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the calculator determine solar payback?
It adds each year's estimated electricity savings until cumulative savings equal the entered net system cost. The result is interpolated within the year in which that threshold is reached. This is simple payback, so it does not by itself account for financing costs or other unmodeled expenses.
Does the calculation assume full net metering?
Yes. Every kilowatt-hour of solar production is valued at the entered retail electricity rate. That matches full net metering. With net billing, exported electricity may receive a lower credit, causing actual savings to be lower unless the home uses most solar production directly.
What should I enter for annual panel output loss?
Panel warranties typically guarantee output declines of no more than about 0.5% per year. The shipped default uses 0.5%, but the appropriate input may depend on the selected equipment, warranty terms, expected operating conditions, and assumptions in the system proposal.
What is the difference between total electricity value and net savings?
Total electricity value is the cumulative modeled value of solar production during the selected projection period. Net savings subtracts the entered net system cost from that total. Costs not separately included in the model, such as financing or equipment replacement, can reduce realized savings.
Does ROI include the time value of money?
No. The displayed return on investment is net savings divided by net system cost. It is a straightforward percentage based on cumulative nominal savings and does not discount future cash flows. Rate escalation and panel degradation are modeled annually, but a separate discount rate is not applied.